The World's Prophecy · Vol. XII, Issue 121 — March 2026
Subscription · Credential Review
Geopolitical intelligence that sees the future eighteen months before it arrives. Subscription is restricted to readers who pass a credential review — institutional email, institutional role, a stated use-case. No anonymous or hobbyist access, no consumer addresses, no retail speculation.
Free monthly commentary remains available at theworldsprophecy.com — but the ranked twelve-event forecast, confidence intervals, dissenting analyst views and the audited State of the Prophecy Index are reserved for credentialed subscribers.
§ I · What the brief delivers
The Forecast Brief is not a newsletter, not a newsfeed, and not a daily digest. It is a single document, published on the first Monday of every month, that does one job and does it in full.
A ranked list of the twelve world-shaping events judged most probable over the next eighteen months — from structural shifts in monetary blocs and energy corridors to coalition collapses, security realignments, and electoral upheavals in major economies. Each event is assigned a probability band with explicit upper and lower bounds.
Every forecast carries an 80% confidence interval, not a single point estimate. The brief shows the distribution, not a confident headline — and discloses which inputs most moved the band. Where the desk disagrees, the interval widens; where the evidence converges, it narrows.
Each issue closes with a Dissent Appendix: one or two named analysts argue the case against the consensus call, in full, with their own probability bands. Subscribers read both sides before they brief their principals. The dissenters' names are signed and on record.
Every forecast in the brief is signed by a named senior analyst who stakes their professional reputation on the call. No anonymous bylines, no committee averages. When a call is wrong, the byline is on record, and the post-mortem is published in the following month's issue.
§ II · The credential review
The gate exists because the brief is read inside the situation rooms of fourteen G20 governments, central banks and sovereign wealth funds. A credentialed readership is the precondition for the candour the brief requires — and for the track record that follows.
CHAPTER I
You submit your application with a verifiable institutional address — a corporate, government, central-bank, university or accredited-research domain. Consumer domains (Gmail, Yahoo, Outlook, ProtonMail and the like) are declined at intake. Personal addresses tied to verified institutional roles are considered on a case-by-case basis.
CHAPTER II
Your title and organisational function are reviewed against public records, LinkedIn, the institutional directory and, where relevant, direct reference. The desk looks for an analytical, advisory, investment, policy or corporate-strategy function — the roles for which the brief is written.
CHAPTER III
A short paragraph describing how the brief will be used internally — by a portfolio manager, a risk committee, a strategy team, a sovereign-desk analyst, a ministry planning staff. Use-cases are read by a senior editor; nothing is graded, and the brief is the same regardless.
CHAPTER IV
On approval, you receive a signed activation note from the subscriptions desk in Geneva, your tier is provisioned, and the current issue plus the full back-catalogue are released to your account. Billing is annual; renewal is automatic unless cancelled in writing before the term ends.
§ III · The audited record
Every figure below is taken from the annual State of the Prophecy Index, audited since 2019 by the Geneva Centre for Security Policy.
No advertising. No sponsored content. No hedge-fund ownership. The brief is funded entirely by its 4,200 institutional subscribers and a small foundation grant from the Smith Richardson Foundation.
§ IV · Subscription tiers
All three tiers carry the same brief, the same analysts and the same audited methodology. The difference is seats, redistribution rights, and the depth of the analyst-desk relationship.
Tier I
One named reader. Single seat.
EUR4,800/ year
Annual · Credential review required
Begin Credential ReviewTier II
Up to ten named seats. One institutional account.
EUR32,000/ year
Annual · Credential review required · Most selected by macro desks
Begin Credential ReviewTier III
Unlimited seats within one legal entity. Bespoke terms.
EUROnapplication
Annual · Credential review required · For central banks, sovereign wealth funds & ministries
Begin Credential ReviewPrices above are denominated in EUR for the standard annual term; billing is also available in USD, GBP and CHF at prevailing rates. The brief is a research subscription, not investment advice. Nothing in the Forecast Brief constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
§ V · Questions from the procurement desk
Because the candour of the brief depends on its readership. The desk writes for analysts inside central banks, sovereign wealth funds, Fortune 100 strategy departments and government planning staffs — readers who use the brief to brief their principals, and who would be disincentivised from reading it if it were also distributed openly to retail traders and anonymous hobbyists. The gate is the precondition for the trust, and for the track record that follows.
The free monthly commentary, the public essays and the open methodology notes remain free, and continue to be published at theworldsprophecy.com. The ranked twelve-event forecast, the confidence intervals, the dissent appendix, the post-mortems on missed calls, and the audited State of the Prophecy Index are reserved for credentialed subscribers — they are the part of the work that is not safe to publish openly.
No. The brief is geopolitical analysis, not investment advice. It forecasts structural events with probability bands and dissenting analyst views; it does not recommend positions, securities or trades. Subscribers are institutional research teams who use the brief as one input among many, and the desk's terms of service make this distinction explicit. Compliance teams should review the standard subscriber agreement, which is countersigned by the Geneva entity.
Subscriptions are annual and billed in advance. A subscriber who determines, within thirty days of activation, that the brief does not fit their stated use-case may request a full refund of the unused portion of the term, prorated to the month. Refund requests are read by the subscriptions desk in Geneva and decided case-by-case; there is no algorithmic triage. No refund is owed for months in which the brief was delivered and read.
The World's Prophecy SA is an independent Swiss publishing entity headquartered in Geneva. It is funded entirely by its 4,200 institutional subscribers and a small foundation grant from the Smith Richardson Foundation. The desk carries no advertising, no sponsored content, and no hedge-fund, sovereign-fund or strategic-investor ownership. The founder-shareholders are Dr. Helena Marchetti and Callum Ashford-Reyes.
On approval, the subscriptions desk issues a signed activation note within one business day. The current issue and the full back-catalogue are released to the subscriber's account the same day; seat provisioning for Team and Sovereign tiers is completed within five business days. Billing runs from the activation date. The first quarterly analyst briefing call for Tier II is scheduled within thirty days of activation.
The credential review is read by a senior editor and decided within five business days. If your institution fits the readership described above, you may begin the review now.
Begin Credential Review